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Geopolitics
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Trump
Iran
Ukraine
Foreign Policy
Trump-Zelenskyy
Iran Ceasefire
U.S. x Iran
China
Courts
NATO
Negotiation Topics
Oil
Peace Deal
Strait of Hormuz
Trump Presidency
Venezuela
Bitcoin
Crypto Legal
eu
Gaza
Hormuz
India
Israel
Macro Geopolitics
Middle East
Military Actions
Nicolas Maduro
Nuclear
putin
Russia
Russia Capture
Security Guarantee
ships
transit
Trump-Putin
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zelensky
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
June 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
September 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
July 31, 2026
—
Yes
—
No
—
$6.7M Vol.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
June 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
December 31, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$2.6M Vol.
Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
December 31, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
August 31, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$1.6M Vol.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$317k Vol.
Ukraine election held by...?
June 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
December 31, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$2.5M Vol.
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