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rewards 100, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
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ships
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Taxes
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tornadoes
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UK
UK Labour Leadership
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astroid
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STF
Stocks
Tennis
Tournament Futures
Turkey BSL
us government
Weekly
World Cup Awards
XRP
fsdffffffff
—
chance
Yes
No
New
Will it rain in Nairobi tomorrow?
—
chance
Yes
No
New
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$137k Vol.
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
100–129
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
160–189
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
310+
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
130–159
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
280–310
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
190–219
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
<100
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
220–249
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
250–279
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$600 Vol.
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
<100
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
130–159
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
190–219
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
250–279
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
310+
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
100–129
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
160–189
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
220–249
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
280–310
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$6k Vol.
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$14k Vol.
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$285k Vol.
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$82k Vol.
Maduro Prison Time?
20–40
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
<20
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
60+
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
No prison time
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
40–60
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$569k Vol.
Maduro guilty of all counts?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$119k Vol.
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$5k Vol.
Harvey Weinstein prison time?
No Prison Time
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
<5 years
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
5-10 years
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
10-20 years
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
20-30 years
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
30+ years
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$1.1M Vol.
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
<24
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
28–31
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
36–39
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
44+
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
24–27
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
32–35
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
40–43
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$63k Vol.
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Shutdown & Republican Party
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$326k Vol.
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Not Extended & Republican Party
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$401k Vol.
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$416k Vol.
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$117k Vol.
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$560k Vol.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
June 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$105k Vol.
Liga Endesa: Winner
FC Barcelona
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Valencia Basket
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Team A
—
Yes
—
No
—
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$11k Vol.
Germany BBL: Winner
Bayern Munich
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Alba Berlin
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Team A
—
Yes
—
No
—
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$598 Vol.
Turkey BSL: Winner
Beşiktaş Gain
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Fenerbahçe Beko
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Team A
—
Yes
—
No
—
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$2k Vol.
Liga Nacional de Básquetbol: Winner
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Comodoro Rivadavia
—
Yes
—
No
—
Quimsa de Santiago del Estero
—
Yes
—
No
—
Team A
—
Yes
—
No
—
$1k Vol.
Peristeri vs. Aris BSA
50%
chance
Peristeri
Aris BSA
$177 Vol.
NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team
Chicago Bulls
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Cleveland Cavaliers
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Houston Rockets
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Indiana Pacers
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Minnesota Timberwolves
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
San Antonio Spurs
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Utah Jazz
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Washington Wizards
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Brooklyn Nets
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Charlotte Hornets
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Denver Nuggets
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Memphis Grizzlies
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Orlando Magic
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Phoenix Suns
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Sacramento Kings
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Toronto Raptors
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Miami Heat
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Milwaukee Bucks
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
New Orleans Pelicans
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
New York Knicks
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Philadelphia 76ers
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Portland Trail Blazers
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Atlanta Hawks
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Boston Celtics
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Dallas Mavericks
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Detroit Pistons
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Golden State Warriors
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Los Angeles Clippers
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Los Angeles Lakers
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Oklahoma City Thunder
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$95k Vol.
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Siena Saints (W)
50%
chance
Manhattan Jaspers
Siena Saints
$21 Vol.
2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick
Cameron Boozer
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Caleb Wilson
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Jayden Quaintance
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Darryn Peterson
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
AJ Dybantsa
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Koa Peat
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Nate Ament
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Mikel Brown Jr.
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Tounde Yessoufou
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player D
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player F
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player J
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player L
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player P
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player R
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player V
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player X
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AB
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AD
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player A
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player B
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player C
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player E
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player G
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player H
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player I
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player K
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player M
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player N
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player O
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player Q
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player S
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player T
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player U
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player W
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player Y
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player Z
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AA
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AC
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AE
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AF
—
Yes
—
No
—
Player AG
—
Yes
—
No
—
$476k Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$2.0M Vol.
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Alibaba
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
xAI
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Moonshot
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Meituan
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Meta
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Baidu
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Google
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
OpenAI
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Z.ai
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
DeepSeek
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Mistral
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Microsoft
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Amazon
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
ByteDance
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company F
—
Yes
—
No
—
Company H
—
Yes
—
No
—
Company G
—
Yes
—
No
—
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
$644k Vol.
Which company has best AI model end of June?
ByteDance
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Anthropic
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Alibaba
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
xAI
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Moonshot
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Meituan
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Meta
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Baidu
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Google
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
OpenAI
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Z.ai
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
DeepSeek
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Mistral
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Microsoft
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Amazon
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
—
Yes
—
No
—
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
Company F
—
Yes
—
No
—
Company H
—
Yes
—
No
—
$15.9M Vol.
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Google
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
OpenAI
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Z.ai
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
DeepSeek
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Mistral
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Microsoft
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Amazon
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
ByteDance
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Anthropic
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Alibaba
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
xAI
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Moonshot
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Meituan
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Meta
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Baidu
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company G
—
Yes
—
No
—
Other
—
Yes
—
No
—
Company F
—
Yes
—
No
—
Company H
—
Yes
—
No
—
$1.9M Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
<100B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
100–200B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
200–300B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
300–400B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
400–600B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
600B+
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$1.7M Vol.
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