/

Politik

Politik

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

50%

50%

Shimelis Abdisa

50%

Gedion Timothewos

50%

50%

50%

Demeke Mekonnen

50%

Adanech Abiebie

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$32.2M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Stephen A. Smith

50%

Gretchen Whitmer

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Raphael Warnock

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Beto O’Rourke

50%

50%

50%

50%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Chelsea Clinton

50%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Jasmine Crockett

50%

50%

50%

Hillary Clinton

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$1207.1M Vol.

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

50%

50%

50%

$6.4M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$55.1M Vol.

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Troop Withdrawal

50%

Enrichment of Uranium

50%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

50%

$8.0M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

50%

Chance

$7.3M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Donald Trump Jr.

50%

50%

50%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

50%

50%

Vivek Ramaswamy

50%

50%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

50%

50%

50%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$661.9M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Donald Trump Jr.

50%

50%

Vivek Ramaswamy

50%

50%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Gretchen Whitmer

50%

50%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$633.0M Vol.

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$33.2M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$1.9M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$429k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$660k Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

50%

50%

50%

$55.1M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

50%

Republican Party

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$7.5M Vol.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026

50%

50%

September 30, 2026

50%

—

$6.7M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

50%

D Senate, R House

50%

R Senate, D House

50%

Republicans Sweep

50%

50%

$8.0M Vol.

Maduro guilty of all counts?

Maduro guilty of all counts?

50%

Chance

$119k Vol.

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$1.1M Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

50%

Chance

$285k Vol.

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

50%

Chance

$2.0M Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

50%

Chance

$416k Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

50%

Republican Party

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$2.8M Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

50%

Chance

$2.0M Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$1.9M Vol.

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

50%

December 31, 2026

50%

$1.2M Vol.

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

50%

December 31, 2026

50%

$2.6M Vol.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2026

50%

50%

$105k Vol.

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

50%

December 31, 2026

50%

August 31, 2026

50%

$1.6M Vol.

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

50%

50%

$952k Vol.

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?

50%

Chance

$317k Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party

50%

Shutdown & Republican Party

50%

—

$326k Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

50%

Chance

$970k Vol.