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Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
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Oil
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec
ships
Strait of Hormuz
Taxes
transit
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$27.9M Vol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
1 (25 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
2 (50 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
3 (75 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
4 (100 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
5 (125 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
6 (150 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
7 (175 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
8 (200 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
9 (225 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
10 (250 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
11 (275 bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
12+ (300+ bps)
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
$36.9M Vol.
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Apple
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Tesla
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Amazon
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Microsoft
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Alphabet
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Saudi Aramco
50%
Ja
50%
Nein
50%
Company B
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company D
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company F
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company H
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company J
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company L
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company N
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company P
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company R
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company T
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company A
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company C
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company E
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company G
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company I
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company K
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company M
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company O
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company Q
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Company S
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
Other
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
$23.0M Vol.
US recession by end of 2026?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$1.6M Vol.
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$970k Vol.
Fed abolished before 2027?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$4k Vol.
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$16k Vol.
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$17k Vol.
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
50%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$22k Vol.
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