POLY247 | Decentralized Prediction Markets

/

World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Bosnia-Herzegovina

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$2677.3M Vol.

United States vs. Australia

United States vs. Australia

Draw (United States vs. Australia)

50%

50%

50%

$6.8M Vol.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)

50%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)

50%

50%

50%

50%

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

50%

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

50%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

50%

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

50%

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

50%

50%

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

—

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)

—

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)

—

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5

—

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

—

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5

—

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)

—

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)

—

$5.4M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

50%

50%

Shimelis Abdisa

50%

Gedion Timothewos

50%

50%

50%

Demeke Mekonnen

50%

Adanech Abiebie

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$32.2M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Stephen A. Smith

50%

Gretchen Whitmer

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Raphael Warnock

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Beto O’Rourke

50%

50%

50%

50%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Chelsea Clinton

50%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Jasmine Crockett

50%

50%

50%

Hillary Clinton

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$1207.1M Vol.

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

50%

50%

50%

$6.4M Vol.

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

50%

Cristiano Ronaldo

50%

Jude Bellingham

50%

50%

50%

Scott McTominay

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Vinicius Junior

50%

50%

50%

Viktor Gyökeres

50%

50%

50%

50%

Ousmane Dembele

50%

50%

50%

50%

Andrej Kramarić

50%

50%

50%

50%

Bradley Barcola

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Lautaro Martinez

50%

Bruno Fernandes

50%

50%

Luis Javier Suárez

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Antoine Semenyo

50%

Mikel Oyarzabal

50%

Federico Valverde

50%

50%

50%

Folarin Balogun

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$18.2M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$55.1M Vol.

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Troop Withdrawal

50%

Enrichment of Uranium

50%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

50%

$8.0M Vol.

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Total Sets: O/U 2.5

50%

Over 2.5 Under 2.5

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.5

50%

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 22.5

50%

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.5

50%

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova

50%

Aryna Sabalenka Nikola Bartunkova

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner

50%

Sabalenka Bartunkova

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 8.5

50%

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 9.5

50%

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 10.5

50%

Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Set Handicap +/-1.5

50%

Sabalenka Bartunkova

Completed Match

—

$2.2M Vol.

Scotland vs. Morocco

Scotland vs. Morocco

50%

Draw (Scotland vs. Morocco)

50%

50%

$2.4M Vol.

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs

50%

T1 Academy KT Rolster Challengers

50%

Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)

50%

T1 Academy KT Rolster Challengers

Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)

50%

T1 Academy KT Rolster Challengers

50%

T1 Academy KT Rolster Challengers

Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs T1 Academy (+2.5)

50%

KT Rolster Challengers T1 Academy

Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)

50%

KT Rolster Challengers T1 Academy

50%

Any Player Penta Kill

50%

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

—

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

—

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

—

Any Player Quadra Kill

—

Any Player Penta Kill

—

Odd/Even Total Kills

—

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

—

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

—

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

—

Any Player Quadra Kill

—

Odd/Even Total Kills

—

$2.1M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

50%

probabilité

$7.3M Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on June 19?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 19?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$2.8M Vol.

Brazil vs. Haiti

Brazil vs. Haiti

50%

Draw (Brazil vs. Haiti)

50%

50%

$2.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

50%

probabilité

$27.9M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Donald Trump Jr.

50%

50%

50%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

50%

50%

Vivek Ramaswamy

50%

50%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

50%

50%

50%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$661.9M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$20.7M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Donald Trump Jr.

50%

50%

Vivek Ramaswamy

50%

50%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

Gretchen Whitmer

50%

50%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$633.0M Vol.

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$33.2M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$1.9M Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

$15.9M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$429k Vol.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$36.9M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 19 - June 26, 2026?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

$660k Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

50%

50%

50%

$55.1M Vol.

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

50%

50%

Jayden Quaintance

50%

Darryn Peterson

50%

50%

50%

50%

Mikel Brown Jr.

50%

Tounde Yessoufou

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$476k Vol.

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

$1.9M Vol.

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$23.0M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

50%

Republican Party

50%

—

—

—

—

—

—

—

$7.5M Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

50%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

50%

$1.9M Vol.